![]() ![]() These models do not take into account the future game. This is where we are seeing the limitations of using ICM, Bubble Factors, and Bounty Power as guiding strategic principles. You can win bounties against the players shorter than you you cannot against the players who have more chips than you. It also assumes that your opponent is calling perfect ranges, so if you have specific read that particular player is deviating by calling less or more, you can adjust. The consensus opinion here would probably be that it’s optimal for everyone to avoid pots against the players who cover them, and try to get into pots when they are the coverer. These push fold charts are calculated based on ICM poker considerations and are used by the best MTT players, so it is considered an optimal approach for end game situations. The Bubble Factor is 1.13, meaning they would need 53% equity – still very wide compared to regular MTTs, but the BTN needs a much stronger range to take on the SB. The highest Bubble Factor is when the BTN with 74BBs is facing an all-in decision against the SB with 82BBs. The lowest Bubble Factor here is when the SB is facing an all-in pot vs the short stacked UTG1, it is 0.72 meaning they only need 42% equity to get it in against them. As we discussed earlier, PKOs are the only format where Bubble Factors are often below one. ![]()
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